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March’s Pick

  • Top pick

It’s time to announce our stock pick for March and there’s a good chance you’ll be happy to hear we’re not suggesting IBM (NYSE: IBM) again. To be clear, if IBM came out on top after assigning the scores, we’d have no problem recommending it for a fourth month in a row – but it’s not. This is about choosing the best stock, not about diversifying for no good reason. Like last month, we’re going to offer some choice. Our pick from the S&P 100 is General Motors Company (NYSE: GM) but we’re also watching Potash Corp of Saskatchewan (TSE: POT) which, while not on the S&P 100, still represents a good opportunity. To be sure, the buyer’s market continues. With markets still a little off, more than 30 companies on the S&P 100 are trading at least 25% below their 52-week high so there are lots of bargains to choose from if you want capital growth.

Let’s look first at GM. This well-known american company is trading 24% below the 52-week high which is a good sale price and makes the $0.38 dividend a 5.15% return. That return is outstanding for a big, blue-chip stock when we compare it to companies such as Apple (2.11%), Wal Mart (3.01%), Johnson and Johnson (2.82%), and McDonald’s (3.00%). With a P/E of 4.92, General Motors represents great value at this time and the $6 EPS indicates strong earnings. We added GM to our portfolio on March 1.

So what’s happening with Potash Corp? Since we mentioned them back on January 29, the price has moved up 8% which is a decent gain for a month if you had purchased them then and sold them now. That’s great for a quick fix but our strategy is to buy value and hold it. Despite that recent gain, they’re still 49% off the 52-week high which is a significant sale. The 11.17 P/E is attractive but the $2.05 EPS is less than ideal (in fact, an EPS that low doesn’t even score on our system) but the depressed worldwide potash price is to blame for that. The company is still profitable and continues to pay that juicy 6.1% dividend. If you’re comfortable straying a little from our core system, POT is a great buy!

Finally, we wouldn’t feel right if we didn’t at least give a little update on IBM. To be fair, it’s still an attractive stock. They’re trading 24% below the 52-week high which is a good sale. With a P/E of 9.82 and EPS of over $13 they are very well-priced for their earnings. The dividend yield is not outstanding but 3.89% is nothing to scoff at. If you previously purchased IBM and are looking to increase your position, it’s still a good time.

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March 1, 2016 PDI

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Choosing a Stock – Part 7: Scoring → ← Choosing a stock – Part 6: How much of the value will be mine?

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